Winter will be here before you know it, and for us in North Dakota, that means it’s almost time to trade iced coffee for something warm, swap fall jackets for parkas, and mentally prepare for the annual “Why do I live where the air hurts my face?” conversation.

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According to the National Weather Service in Bismarck, early outlooks suggest we’re in for a slightly colder-than-average season, with models showing a 30% to 40% chance of snowfall leaning above normal.

Winter Temp Outlook
https://www.weather.gov/media/bis/winteroutlookbriefing_2526.pdf
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Winter Temp Outlook

Expect the Unexpected: North Dakota Weather Can Change in a Flash

Now, before you panic, or celebrate, depending on how much you love snow—remember: these are predictions. And if there’s anything we in North Dakotans know, it’s that weather forecasts can (and do) change faster than a pickup sliding on black ice. One day it’s mild and calm, the next day you’re shoveling a drift tall enough to qualify as a sledding hill.

Read More: North Dakota Keeping College Expenses Low For Families

Winter precip outlook
https://www.weather.gov/media/bis/winteroutlookbriefing_2526.pdf
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Winter precip outlook

Preparing for Winter: Even “Above Normal” Snow Calls for a Little Prep

Still, “above normal” snowfall isn’t exactly shocking by our standards. It’s practically a polite nudge from Mother Nature compared to the legendary winters of the past, when folks still tell stories about storms so big the snowbanks touched power lines. But even an average, or slightly above-average, winter in North Dakota demands a little preparation. This is the time to make sure your snowblower actually starts, your vehicle’s emergency kit isn’t just an empty granola wrapper, and your boots still have soles.

What does a colder winter mean for us? Besides slightly frostier noses, it might bring a bit more ice on the roads, a few extra minutes warming up the car, and of course, more opportunities for those beautiful, crisp winter sunrises we secretly love.

But again, North Dakota weather has a personality of its own. These predictions could shift. We could get more. We could get less. We could get a 50-degree day in January followed by a blizzard the next morning. It’s all part of the charm up here, right?

So as winter sneaks closer, take a moment to prepare, breathe in the last few days of “not freezing,” and get ready. Whether gentle or intense, winter always brings a mix of challenges, beauty, and a few good laughs along the way.

14 essential items for a winter survival kit to keep in your vehicle:

When traveling in winter, it’s crucial to have a well-stocked survival kit in case of emergencies. Here are essential items to keep in your vehicle:

Gallery Credit: Scott Haugen

LOOK: The most extreme temperatures in the history of every state

Stacker consulted 2021 data from the NOAA's State Climate Extremes Committee (SCEC) to illustrate the hottest and coldest temperatures ever recorded in each state. Each slide also reveals the all-time highest 24-hour precipitation record and all-time highest 24-hour snowfall.

Keep reading to find out individual state records in alphabetical order.

Gallery Credit: Anuradha Varanasi

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